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Creators/Authors contains: "Li, Xinlin"

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  1. Free, publicly-accessible full text available April 28, 2026
  2. Free, publicly-accessible full text available April 28, 2026
  3. Abstract Drift periodic echoes of electrons in the inner belt appear as structured bands in energy spectrograms, also known as “zebra stripes”. Such phenomenon is normally observed at energies from 10s of keV to ∼250 keV. We report multiple series of zebra stripes of relativistic electrons observed by the recent Colorado Inner Radiation Belt Experiment (CIRBE) CubeSat. The high energy resolution measurements taken by the REPTile‐2 (Relativistic Electron and Proton Telescope integrated little experiment‐2) instrument onboard CIRBE show that zebra stripes of radiation belt electrons can be observed from 300 keV to >1 MeV, crossing theLrange from 1.18 to >3, from quiet times to storm times. Through test particle simulations, we show that a prompt electric field with a peak amplitude ∼5 mV/m in near‐Earth space can trigger zebra stripes of relativistic electrons. Azimuthal inhomogeneity of electron distribution caused by the prompt electric field modulates the electron energy spectrum by energy‐dependent drift phases to form zebra stripes. Though zebra stripes are observed in both belts, they tend to last longer and appear more frequently in the inner belt. Zebra stripes in the outer belt will have a shorter lifetime due to more perturbations there, including energy and pitch‐angle diffusion, which diminish the structure. This study demonstrates the important role of electric fields in the dynamics of relativistic electrons and contributes to the understanding of the mechanisms creating and diminishing zebra stripes. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
  4. Abstract The rapidly expanding fleet of low‐altitude CubeSats equipped with energetic particle detectors brings new opportunities for monitoring the dynamics of the radiation belt and near‐Earth plasma sheet. Despite their small sizes, CubeSats can carry state‐of‐the‐art instruments that provide electron flux measurements with finer energy resolution and broader energy coverage, compared to conventional missions such as POES satellites. The recently launched CIRBE CubeSat measures 250–6,000 keV electrons with extremely high energy resolution, however, CIRBE typically only measures locally‐trapped electrons and cannot directly measure the precipitating electrons. This work aims to develop a technique for identifying indications of nightside precipitation using the locally‐trapped electron measurements by the CIRBE CubeSat. This study focuses on two main types of drivers for nightside precipitation: electron scattering by the curvature of magnetic field lines in the magnetotail current sheet and electron scattering by resonance with electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves. Using energy and pitch‐angle resolved electron fluxes from the low‐altitude ELFIN CubeSat, we reveal the features that distinguish between these two precipitation mechanisms based solely on locally‐trapped flux measurements. Then we present measurements from four CIRBE orbits and demonstrate the applicability of the proposed technique to the investigation of nightside precipitation using CIRBE observations, enabling separation between precipitation induced by curvature scattering and EMIC waves in nearby regions. Our study underscores the feasibility of employing high‐energy‐resolution CIRBE measurements for detecting nightside precipitation of relativistic electrons. Additionally, we briefly discuss outstanding scientific questions about these precipitation patterns that could be addressed with CIRBE measurements. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
  5. Abstract During active geomagnetic periods both electrons and protons in the outer radiation belt have been frequently observed to penetrate to lowL(<4). Previous studies have demonstrated systematic differences in the deep penetration of the two species of particles, most notably that the penetration of protons is observed less frequently than for electrons of the same energies. A recent study by Mei et al. (2023,https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101921) showed that the time‐varying convection electric field contributes to the deeper penetration of low‐energy electrons and that a radial diffusion‐convection model can be used to reproduce the storm‐time penetration of lower‐energy electrons to lowerL. In this study, we analyze and provide physical explanations for the different behaviors of electrons and protons in terms of their penetration depth to lowL. A radial diffusion‐convection model is applied for the two species with coefficients that are adjusted according to the mass‐dependent relativistic effects on electron and proton drift velocity, and the different loss mechanisms included for each species. Electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) wave scattering losses for 100s of keV protons during a specific event are modeled and quantified; the results suggest that EMIC waves interacting with protons of lower energies than electrons can contribute to prevent the inward transport of the protons. 
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  6. Abstract Ultra‐low frequency (ULF) waves radially diffuse hundreds‐keV to few‐MeV electrons in the magnetosphere, as the range of drift frequencies of such electrons overlaps with the wave frequencies, leading to resonant interactions. Theoretically this process is described by analytic expressions of the resonant interactions between electrons and ULF wave modes in a background magnetic field. However, most expressions of the radial diffusion rates are derived for equatorially mirroring electrons and are based on estimates of the power of ULF waves that are obtained either from spacecraft close to the equatorial plane or from the ground but mapped to the equatorial plane. Based on recent statistical in situ observations, it was found that the wave power of magnetic fluctuations is significantly enhanced away from the magnetic equator. In this study, the distribution of the wave amplitudes as a function of magnetic latitude is compared against models simulating the natural modes of oscillation of magnetospheric field lines, with which they are found to be consistent. Energetic electrons are subsequently traced in 3D model fields that include a latitudinal dependence that is similar to measurements and to the natural modes of oscillation. Particle tracing simulations show a significant dependence of the radial transport of relativistic electrons on pitch angle, with off‐equatorial electrons experiencing considerably higher radial transport, as they interact with ULF wave fluctuations of higher amplitude than equatorial electrons. These findings point to the need for incorporating pitch‐angle‐dependent radial diffusion coefficients in global radiation belt models. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
  7. Abstract We develop an Imbalanced Regression Artificial Neural Network model for the Auroral electrojet index (IRANNA) to predict the SuperMAG SML index, addressing the heavily imbalanced distribution of the SML data set. The data set contains mostly quiet‐time values of lesser importance and very few strong‐to‐extreme values of interest, such as those associated with super substorms. Traditional prediction models, which minimize mean squared error uniformly across the whole data set, are often skewed by this imbalance, prioritizing the lower, quiet‐time values and consequently underestimating strong geomagnetic events. The IRANNA model addresses this issue by using a customized weighting scheme in the loss function, enabling it to predict strong‐to‐extreme events accurately for the first time. The model takes solar wind parameters as inputs and predicts the logarithm of the absolute SML values. It does not rely on past values of the SML index, differentiating it from other models that use historical data for prediction. The model has demonstrated its ability to predict the peak amplitudes of strong‐to‐extreme events across various statistical analyses, event studies, and virtual experiments. Despite this success, challenges remain, particularly during localized electrojet events and when upstream solar wind data propagation is unreliable. This study emphasizes the importance of using imbalanced regression techniques, especially in space physics, where data sets are inherently skewed. It also highlights the potential of the IRANNA model to provide valuable insights into the magnetosphere's response to solar wind driving, improving space weather forecasting and offering new tools for investigating magnetospheric dynamics. 
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  8. Abstract Deep penetration of outer radiation belt electrons to lowL(<3.5) has long been recognized as an energy‐dependent phenomenon but with limited understanding. The Van Allen Probes measurements have clearly shown energy‐dependent electron penetration during geomagnetically active times, with lower energy electrons penetrating to lowerL. This study aims to improve our ability to model this phenomenon by quantitatively considering radial transport due to large‐scale azimuthal electric fields (E‐fields) as an energy‐dependent convection term added to a radial diffusion Fokker‐Planck equation. We use a modified Volland‐Stern model to represent the enhanced convection field at lowerLto match the observations of storm time values ofE‐field. We model 10–400 MeV/G electron phase space density with an energy‐dependent radial diffusion coefficient and this convection term and show that the model reproduces the observed deep penetrations well, suggesting that time‐variant azimuthalE‐fields contribute preferentially to the deep penetration of lower‐energy electrons. 
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